Slow Economic Growth in the Midst of Uncertainty: Q2 In Review
Now that we are well into 2012, the macro economic situation is seemingly on par to that of 2011. Europe may well be the more worrisome news with more bailouts on the horizon, and no real end in sight to countries plagued by toxic debt and fiscal austerity. With Greece recently bailed out, Italy and Spain are teetering on their own fiscal crises. The US economy is sputtering along at a growth rate of 1.5%, mainly due to a drawback in consumer spending. In Asia, China’s economy grew at the slowest rate in three years, but still clocked in at a healthy 7.6%. Company executives are watching global markets closely to react quickly in locations where they have operations.
The fragile global economy is experiencing headwinds. For this reason, we are seeing executives in a holding pattern to grow the company rosters, there is little new “headcount” being created. Building a bench of talent in many departments is being put on the back burner. “Caution” is a popular term being used and it’s understandable given the level of uncertainty for the economy over the coming months.
Ironically, there is still significant demand for top talent and in fact, we are seeing significant demand for ‘A Players’. The Technology, Financial, and Insurance sectors seem to be buoying the demand for top talent which mirrors the findings of the most recent AESC Quarterly Survey.
While companies are not aggressively expanding headcount, they are more willing to make replacements – wanting to install a superstar for the C-Suite or other senior executive position. In fact, many companies report shortages for well seasoned executives. Multiple offers are now more common than not – something we haven’t experienced since 2008.
This has presented retained search with a high demand for targeted searches; it just might be a more complex road to finding a suitable ‘A’ candidates who are willing to make a move. A recent AESC survey indicated that 57% of senior executives are willing to make a career move. In the same survey, many respondents indicated a negative outlook in terms of economic instability and career stagnation.
It may seem somewhat redundant, but like many previous quarters, the 2nd quarter of 2012 is full of optimism but paralyzed by uncertainty and caution. Companies want to hire ‘A Players’, executives are willing to move, but action is slow to happen.
Hiring decisions are wrought with uncertainties. Employing the wrong person can cause minor inconveniences at the entry level, but at the CXO level, a hiring mistake can cause detrimental economic effects that leave lasting effects throughout an organization. Engaging the most crucial members of your organization is a lengthy and strategic process. To ensure the best candidates are sought after for these crucial roles, recruiters should look outside the company in addition to within.
The economic tone for the US economy in the first quarter was largely positive and steady. This parallels what we saw in retained search demand and the recent quarterly report released by the
We entered 2011 tentatively, unsure of the sustainability of the recovery. With substantial effort, and continued “tailwinds,” last year was much better than most expected.
Last week Booz & Co. released their 7th annual
With November rolling in, and snow now blanketing the Northeast, we all begin looking to the end of the year. In fact, Thanksgiving is only a little more than three weeks away. Usually at this time of year two things are constants: companies/functions run out of budget and attention shifts to planning activities for the next year. The result is that the release of search work slows, only to pick-up after the new year. This year, however, is different.
A number of years ago the US tax law changed and required companies to expense stock options granted to their executives. The consequence of this, in addition to stock prices which were becoming more unpredictable, was that companies moved away from stock options as a long-term incentive. Today, most of our major clients use Restricted Shares (RSUs) or a combination of RSUs, Performance Shares (PSUs) and cash.
The world seems to be going to extremes – business is no different. For years company leaders kept a close eye on the younger talent in their organization identified as “high potential.” This moniker is usually reserved for a small group of management talent which is viewed as having significant future potential.
Relocation has always been a significant cost of recruiting a new executive. Most of our clients expect that a full executive relocation will cost from $100,000 to $200,000. The complicating factor of late has been the housing market – will the executive lose money on his/her home – and who will pay for this? Over the last year, we have seen significant changes in relocation philosophies: